Capital Strategy ... in a Fast—Changing World
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Capital Strategy ... in a Fast-Changing World


Typical Presentation Outline:
for an In-house Colloquium, Seminar, or Short Course
by: Dr. I. C. Runge, Capital Strategy Pty Ltd.


Quick jump to: Topics, Background to the Program, Presenter, Who this Program is for, Suggested Corporate Program, Address for contact.

Seminar/Course/Colloquium: Capital Strategy ... in a Fast—Changing World

  • What is Different about Capital Investment Choices. “Plans,” or “Strategies?”
  • How to Value Capital and make Capital Investment Decisions under Uncertainty.
  • Why Procrastination is Rational (sometimes, at least).  The Matching Law
  • Distorted Market Signals and Inappropriate Economic Models—Why Investment Returns Fall Short of Expectations
  • DCF’s—Helpful or Mis-leading?   A Fresh Look at Capital Investment Decision-Making
  • Rational and Not-so-rational Investments in Information from a Corporate Perspective
  • “At-risk” Capital Investment Analysis—differentiating the probability of loss from the amount of (possible) loss.
  • Why a Strategy of “Making Management Accountable” leads to lost profits.
  • Asset Values—Accounting Convention or Corporate Management Tool?
  • How the Economic Structure of Capital Intensive Business Enterprises limits the Scope for Change
  • Institutions—the Economic Cinderella
  • Promoting Entrepreneurship or Enhancing Core Competencies?—the limitations and pitfalls for genuine growth strategies.
  • Capital Investment Criteria for the next decade and beyond


Background to this Program:
Capital intensive industry faces unique difficulties in achieving planned returns on investment, and these difficulties are not well addressed in business school models or in economic theory.
     After directly observing business decision-makers in the mining, transport, and electricity industries for 20 years, and noticing time and again seemingly logical choices that resulted in unintended and unwelcome outcomes, Ian Runge became convinced that some fundamental shortcoming existed in the way capital investment choices are understood and decisions made.  Drawing on first-hand involvement in major resource projects—some of which had proved most successful, and some of which had proved abject failures—he went back to the drawing board to find where economic theory had gone astray in its understanding of capital.
     This work has so far resulted in two books that are the foundation to the program set out in this brochure.  The first—Mining Economics and Strategy—is aimed at the resources industry, and combines insights from economics with modern business strategy.  It includes new techniques for quantitative evaluation of risk and comparison of choices with different risk-return profiles.  The book was published by the Denver-based Society of Mining, Minerals and Metallurgy in September, 1998.  The second—Capital and Uncertainty—is a book of economic theory that examines the fundamental process of capital investment choice under uncertainty.  This book draws upon and extends the insights of economic scholars in the opportunity cost tradition, particularly Nobel Economics Laureates James Buchanan, Hayek, Arrow, Stigler, Simon, and Coase, with modern game theory and new institutional economics.  This book was published in September 2000.


Presenter:
 
Ian Runge is an engineer and economist.  He is Founder and Non-Executive Chairman of Runge Ltd. and Director of Capital Strategy Pty Ltd.
     Ian Runge is a business person and practitioner who has served his apprenticeship through academic effort, at senior levels in business, and via the the real world forces of competition.
     With an entrepreneurial approach and an understanding of risk that he now writes about, he founded his own company in 1977 at the age of 24—a company that now boasts 7 offices in 5 countries, sales to 24 countries, and a reputation as one of Australia’s leading mining technology and services organizations.  Runge has been integrally involved in the decisions for major resource projects for 30 years.  In 1992 Runge withdrew from day-to-day involvement with his company—putting to the test his own theories of entrepreneurship, innovation, delegation, and management accountability—and started a privately funded research program into the issues set out in this program.  He retains a major equity interest in the company, but works independently.
      In 1997 Runge formed Capital Strategy Pty Ltd. to apply the results of this work in capital intensive industry and into management policy and re-commenced limited consulting and lecturing to private clients in industry.
     Ian Runge is an experienced and entertaining presenter. He revels in challenging the mainstream view of management, business strategy, and economics.


Who this Program is for:
The topics covered in this outline are aimed at business decision-makers—primarily company directors, executive and senior management, finance, engineering, accounting and senior production personnel with decision-making responsibility.  Topics focus on capital intensive industry such as mining, energy (coal, oil, gas), power generation, transport, infrastructure projects, and knowledge-based businesses.
We assume participants have a serious interest in business economics, a familiarity with commonly used models of business strategy, and an understanding of finance and accounting terms including discounted cash flow techniques.
     The program is a tailored-to-suit combination of the path-breaking research in capital undertaken by Runge, coupled with practical applications in cash flow analysis, choice from an opportunity cost perspective, fundamental economics, and new applications in decision-making under risk and uncertainty.  The program is offered on a corporate basis only.



Suggested Corporate Program:

  1. Discussion of issues—capital decision process, return-on-investment criteria, risk and uncertainty. (1-2 hours with 1 or 2 senior personnel)  No charge, no commitment.  Proposal follows.
  2. Senior management colloquium.  A mini-seminar (1 2 hours) raising and challenging fundamental issues, followed by a question and answer session (1 2 hours).  Objective: to identify early those elements likely to yield the greatest gain from changes in strategic thinking in the capital investment and management process.  Brief report, and preparation of seminar outline.
  3. One-day In-house Seminar, focusing on ideas refined from the colloquium.  Attendance by large cross-section of management—including general management, finance, accounting, marketing, HR, and senior production personnel.  Comprehensive notes provided.  Some case study material discussed.
  4. 3-day Course or Series of 3-day Courses on Capital Investment Strategy (maximum 10 people each course).  This is an extension of the seminar with specific techniques of how to apply the ideas and concepts in the seminar using generic and company-specific case studies.

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Contact: Dr. Ian Runge, Director

Capital Strategy Pty Ltd.

G.P.O. Box 569

Brisbane,  Qld.    4001

Ph: (07) 3210-2788    Fax: (07) 3210-2799